Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004207 0.004429 0.004657 0.004908 0.005179 0.005462 0.005781
2025-08-10 0.003793 0.004117 0.004465 0.004866 0.005320 0.005817 0.006408
2025-08-17 0.003610 0.004001 0.004434 0.004949 0.005552 0.006237 0.007084
2025-08-24 0.003416 0.003847 0.004335 0.004931 0.005646 0.006484 0.007555
2025-08-31 0.003248 0.003707 0.004236 0.004896 0.005707 0.006682 0.007963
2025-09-07 0.003089 0.003565 0.004123 0.004831 0.005718 0.006810 0.008282
2025-09-14 0.002947 0.003435 0.004014 0.004762 0.005715 0.006912 0.008565
2025-09-21 0.002858 0.003364 0.003972 0.004768 0.005804 0.007131 0.009007
2025-09-28 0.002703 0.003204 0.003812 0.004619 0.005680 0.007062 0.009052
2025-10-05 0.002629 0.003141 0.003770 0.004615 0.005745 0.007242 0.009446
2025-10-12 0.002597 0.003129 0.003790 0.004692 0.005918 0.007575 0.010072
2025-10-19 0.002520 0.003056 0.003729 0.004657 0.005936 0.007692 0.010391
2025-10-26 0.002448 0.002988 0.003673 0.004628 0.005962 0.007822 0.010740
2025-11-02 0.002377 0.002920 0.003614 0.004591 0.005975 0.007934 0.011067
2025-11-09 0.002355 0.002914 0.003637 0.004668 0.006150 0.008289 0.011791
2025-11-16 0.002299 0.002861 0.003594 0.004651 0.006187 0.008440 0.012200
2025-11-23 0.002241 0.002804 0.003543 0.004619 0.006201 0.008554 0.012553
2025-11-30 0.002176 0.002735 0.003475 0.004558 0.006170 0.008594 0.012785
2025-12-07 0.002114 0.002668 0.003405 0.004494 0.006129 0.008619 0.012988
2025-12-14 0.002078 0.002636 0.003385 0.004501 0.006195 0.008812 0.013494
2025-12-21 0.001996 0.002538 0.003269 0.004362 0.006033 0.008632 0.013330
2025-12-28 0.001962 0.002506 0.003244 0.004359 0.006079 0.008792 0.013783
2026-01-04 0.001953 0.002509 0.003270 0.004430 0.006244 0.009153 0.014630